#  Columns and Talks 

 



**2025**

- ["Six Predictions"](https://mankiw.scholars.harvard.edu/sites/g/files/omnuum5931/files/2025-12/Six%20predictions.pdf), *Wall Street Journal*, 09/21/2025
- ["3 Experts on What Trump is Doing to the Economy"](https://mankiw.scholars.harvard.edu/sites/g/files/omnuum5931/files/2025-12/3%20Experts%20on%20What%20Trump%20is%20Doing%20to%20the%20Economy.pdf), *New York Times*, 08/21/2025
- ["Firing the BLS commissioner will come back to haunt Trump"](https://mankiw.scholars.harvard.edu/sites/g/files/omnuum5931/files/2025-12/Mankiw%20and%20Rouse.pdf), *The Washington Post,* 08/05/2025
- ["The Fiscal Future"](https://mankiw.scholars.harvard.edu/sites/g/files/omnuum5931/files/2025-07/Feldstein%20lecture.pdf), The 2025 Martin Feldstein Lecture, 07/10/25

**2023**

- ["Five Best: Economics Primers"](/file_url/336), *Wall Street Journal*, 06/03/23

**2021**

- ["Can We Afford a Welfare State?",](/file_url/331) *New York Times*, 9/19/21
- ["The Biden Economy Risks a Speeding Ticket,"](/file_url/328) *New York Times*, 2/28/21

**2020**

- ["The Double-Edged Sword of Low Interest Rates,"](/file_url/327) *New York Times*, 12/6/20
- ["Pay People to Get Vaccinated," ](/file_url/326)*New York Times*, 9/13/20
- ["C.E.O.s Are Qualified to Make Profits, Not Lead Society,"](/file_url/324) *New York Times*, 7/26/20
- ["He Said, He Said: Debating Two Possible Recoveries,"](/file_url/322) *New York Times*, 4/19/20
- ["Will the Economy Re-elect Trump? Should It?",](/file_url/321) *New York Times*, 3/1/20

**2019**

- [" 'Republican Economist' Sheds a Party Label,"](/file_url/316) *New York Times*, 11/17/19
- ["Yang vs. Warren: Who Has the Better Tax Plan?", ](/file_url/315)*New York Times*, 9/29/19
- ["Yes, There Is a Trade-Off Between Inflation and Unemployment,"](/file_url/312) *New York Times*, 8/11/19
- ["The National Debt Is Still a Problem,"](/file_url/311) *New York Times*, 6/23/19
- ["Let's Keep the Federal Reserve Great,"](/file_url/309) *New York Times*, 4/14/19

  
**2018**

- ["Four Questions for the Year Ahead,"](/file_url/304) *New York Times*, 12/30/18
- ["Surprising Truths About Trade Deficits,"](/file_url/303) *New York Times*, 10/7/18
- ["Learning the Right Lessons From the Financial Crisis,"](/file_url/302) *New York Times*, 7/29/18
- ["Why Aren't More Men Working?"](/file_url/301), *New York Times*, 6/17/18
- ["Reviewing the Tenets of Free Trade,"](/file_url/300) *New York Times*, 2/18/18

**2017**

- ["Who Loses When Endowments Are Taxed?"](/file_url/299), *New York Times*, 12/24/17
- ["How to Improve the Trump Tax Plan,"](/file_url/298) *New York Times*, 11/5/17
- ["Getting Along by Getting Together,"](/file_url/295) *New York Times*, 9/10/17
- ["Why Health Care Policy Is So Hard,"](/file_url/294) *New York Times*, 7/30/17
- ["Cut Taxes, Sure. But Remember the Budget Deficit,"](/file_url/293) *New York Times*, 6/4/17
- ["How Best to Tax Business,"](/file_url/292) *New York Times*, 4/23/17
- ["Advice for Trump: Ask an Economist,"](/file_url/291) *New York Times*, 3/12/17
- ["A Conservative Case for Climate Action,"](/file_url/290) *New York Times*, 2/8/17

**2016**

- ["Seeing Past the Trade Deficit Threat,"](/file_url/289) *New York Times*, 12/4/16
- ["$2,500: A Fair Price for 'Hamilton',"](/file_url/287) *New York Times*, 10/23/16
- ["Why Taxing Fairly Means Not Taxing Inheritances,"](/file_url/286) *New York Times*, 9/11/16
- ["Trade is Good, but Voters Aren't Buying It,"](/file_url/285) *New York Times*, 7/31/16
- ["The GDP and Its Discontents," ](/file_url/284)Review of The Great Invention: The Story of GDP and the Making (and Unmaking) of the Modern World by Ehsan Masood, *Science,* 7/22/16
- ["One Economic Sickness, Five Diagnoses," ](/file_url/283)*New York Times*, 6/16/16
- ["The Economy is Rigged, and Other Presidential Campaign Myths,"](/file_url/282) *New York Times*, 5/8/16
- ["A Better Way to Grade Presidents,"](/file_url/278) *New York Times*, 1/31/16

**2015**

- ["Three Reasons for Those Hefty College Tuition Bills,"](/file_url/277) *New York Times*, 12/20/15
- ["Uniting Behind a Divisive Health Tax,"](/file_url/276) (with Lawrence H. Summers), *New York Times*, 10/25/15
- ["Shifting the Tax Burden to Cut Carbon,"](/file_url/275) *New York Times*, 9/6/15
- ["The Conservative Heart: How to Build a Fairer, Happier, and More Prosperous America" by Arthur C. Brooks,](/file_url/274) *New York Times Sunday Book Review*, 8/2/15
- ["History Echoes Through Greek Debt Crisis,"](/file_url/273) *New York Times*, 7/19/15
- ["Retesting Congress in Free Trade 101,"](/file_url/271) *New York Times*, 4/26/15
- ["A Slippery New Rule for Gauging Fiscal Policy,"](/file_url/270) *New York Times*, 3/1/15

**2014**

- ["One Way to Fix the Corporate Tax: Repeal It,"](/file_url/269) *New York Times*, 8/24/14
- ["Why Inheritance Is Not a Problem,"](/file_url/268) *New York Times*, 6/22/14
- ["Media Slant: A Question of Cause and Effect,"](/file_url/267) *New York Times*, 5/4/14
- ["When the Scientist Is Also a Philosopher,"](/file_url/266) *New York Times*, 3/23/14
- ["Yes, the Wealthy Can Be Deserving,"](/file_url/265) *New York Times*, 2/16/14
- ["Help the Working Poor, but Share the Burden,](/file_url/264)" *New York Times*, 1/5/14

**2013**

- ["In Fed Policy, the Exit Music May Be Hard to Hear,"](/file_url/262) *New York Times*, 11/24/13
- ["Things Didn't Go as Planned,"](/file_url/261) *New York Times*, Sunday Book Review, 11/17/13
- ["From Summer Camp, a Parable for Washington,"](/file_url/259) *New York Times*, 10/13/13
- ["A Carbon Tax That America Could Live With,"](/file_url/258) *New York Times*, 9/2/13
- ["Budging (Just a Little) on Investing in Gold,"](/file_url/257) *New York Times*, 7/28/13
- ["Politics Aside, a Common Bond for Two Economists,"](/file_url/256) *New York Times*, 6/30/13
- [Graduation Talk at the Chapel Hill-Chauncy Hall School](/file_url/255), 6/1/13
- ["What Stock to Buy? Hey, Mom, Don't Ask Me,"](/file_url/254) *New York Times*, 5/19/13
- ["A Sustainable Budget Should Endure Any Storm,"](/file_url/253) *New York Times*, 3/31/13
- ["Give Me Your Tired, Your Poor and Your Economists, Too,"](/file_url/249) *New York Times*, 2/12/13

**2012**

- ["Wishful Thinking and Middle-Class Taxes,"](/file_url/250) *New York Times*, 12/30/12
- ["Slugging It Out, Inside Obama's Mind,"](/file_url/288) *New York Times*,11/25/12
- ["Competition is Healthy for Governments, Too,"](/file_url/238) *New York Times*, 4/15/12
- ["Capital Gains, Ordinary Income and Shades of Gray,"](/file_url/235) *New York Times*, 3/4/12
- ["A Better Tax System (Assembly Instructions Included),"](/file_url/242) *New York Times,* 1/22/12
- ["Dear Mr. Bernanke: Please Tell Us More,"](/file_url/248) *New York Times*, 1/1/12

**2011**

- ["Know What You're Protesting,"](/file_url/246) *New York Times*, 12/4/11
- ["Four Nations, Four Lessons,"](/file_url/244) *New York Times*, 10/22/11
- ["How to Make Business Want to Invest Again,"](/file_url/241) *New York Times*, 9/11/11
- ["What's With All the Bernanke Bashing?",](/file_url/247) *New York Times,* 7/31/11
- ["Seriously, Some Consensus About Health Care,"](/file_url/245) *New York Times*, 6/19/11
- ["If You Have the Answers, Tell Me,"](/file_url/167) *New York Times*, 5/7/11
- ["It's 2026, and the Debt Is Due,"](/file_url/169) *New York Times*, 3/27/11
- ["Emerging Markets as Partners, Not Rivals,"](/file_url/168) *New York Times,* 2/13/11
- ["How to Break Bread With the Republicans,"](/file_url/173) *New York Times*, 1/2/11

**2010**

- ["The Blur Between Spending and Taxes,"](/file_url/170) *New York Times*, 11/20/10
- ["I Can Afford Higher Taxes. But They'll Make Me Work Less,"](/file_url/177) *New York Times*, 10/9/10
- ["A Course Load for the Game of Life,"](/file_url/175) *New York Times*, 9/4/10
- ["The Trilemma of International Finance,"](/file_url/243) *New York Times,* 7/11/10
- ["Crisis Economics,"](/file_url/172) *National Affairs,* Summer 2010
- "[Can a Soda Tax Save Us From Ourselves?"](/file_url/179)[,](http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/mankiw/files/Can%20a%20Soda%20Tax.pdf) *New York Times*, 6/4/10
- ["Much to Love, and Hate, in a VAT,"](/file_url/176) *New York Times*, 4/30/10
- ["Trying to Tame the Unknowable,"](/file_url/174) *New York Times,* 3/28/10
- ["What's Sustainable About This Budget?",](/file_url/171) *New York Times*, 2/14/10
- ["Bernanke and the Beast,"](/file_url/178) *New York Times*, 1/17/10

**2009**

- ["Tax Cuts Might Accomplish What Spending Hasn't,"](/file_url/185) *New York Times*, 12/13/09
- ["Questions about Fiscal Policy: Implications from the Financial Crisis of 2008-2009,"](/file_url/181) Panel Discussion, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Policy Forum, 12/4/09
- ["Supply-Side Ideas, Turned Upside Down,"](/file_url/188) *New York Times*, 11/1/09
- ["Back in Demand,"](/file_url/186) *Wall Street Journal*, 9/21/09
- ["Why Health Care Will Never Be Equal,"](/file_url/183) *New York Times*, 9/20/09
- ["A Missed Opportunity on Climate Change,"](/file_url/182) *New York Times*, 8/9/09
- ["The Pitfalls of the Public Option,"](/file_url/189) *New York Times*, 6/28/09
- ["That Freshman Course Won't Be Quite the Same,"](/file_url/187) *New York Times*, 5/24/09
- ["It May Be Time for the Fed to Go Negative,"](/file_url/184) *New York Times*, 4/19/09
- ["Finding Messages in a Blueprint,"](/file_url/180) *New York Times*, 3/15/09
- ["It's No Time for Protectionism,"](/file_url/198) *New York Times*, 2/8/09
- ["Is Government Spending Too Easy an Answer?",](/file_url/195) *New York Times*, 1/11/09

**2008**

- ["What Would Keynes Have Done?",](/file_url/192) *New York Times*, 11/30/08
- ["Memo to the POTUS-elect,"](/file_url/190) *New York Times*, 11/9/08
- ["But Have We Learned Enough?",](/file_url/197) *New York Times*, 10/26/08
- ["On Dividend Taxes, It's a Post-Partisan Race,"](/file_url/194) *New York Times*, 9/7/08
- ["What If The Candidates Pandered to Economists?",](/file_url/191) *New York Times,* 7/13/08
- ["The Problem with the Corporate Tax,"](/file_url/199) *New York Times,* 6/1/08
- ["The Wealth Trajectory: Rewards for the Few,"](/file_url/196) *New York Times,* 4/20/08
- ["](http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/mankiw/files/Beyond%20the%20Noise.pdf)[Beyond the Noise on Free Trade](/file_url/193),["](http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/mankiw/files/Beyond%20the%20Noise.pdf) *New York Times,* 3/16/08
- ["](http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/mankiw/files/My%20Birthday%20Wish.pdf)[My Birthday Wish: Not Burdening Our Children](/file_url/200),["](http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/mankiw/files/My%20Birthday%20Wish.pdf) *New York Times,* 2/3/08

**2007**

- ["How to Avoid Recession? Let the Fed Work," ](/file_url/207)*New York Times*, 12/23/07
- ["Beyond Those Health Care Numbers," ](/file_url/205)*New York Times,* 11/04/07
- [“One Answer to Global Warming: A New Tax,” ](/file_url/203)*New York Times*, 9/16/07
- [“Fair Taxes? Depends What You Mean by 'Fair',” ](/file_url/201)*New York Times*, 7/15/07

**2006**

- [“Raise the Gas Tax,” ](/file_url/208)*Wall Street Journal*, 10/20/06
- [“Dynamic Analysis," ](/file_url/204)*Wall Street Journal*, 7/26/06
- [“Mr. Paulson's Challenge,” ](/file_url/202)*Wall Street Journal*, 5/31/06
- [“Reflections on the Trade Deficit and Fiscal Policy,” ](/file_url/209)meeting of the American Economic Association, January 2006
- [“Repeat After Me,” ](/file_url/206)*Wall Street Journal*, 1/3/06 (page A12)

**2005**

- [“Questions for Ben Bernanke,” ](/file_url/214)*Wall Street Journal*, 10/28/05 (page A12)
- [“Price Dynamics: Three Open Questions,”](/file_url/211) Comments Presented at Federal Reserve Conference, September 2005
- [Comment on “Separating the Business Cycle from Other Economic Fluctuations” by Robert E. Hall,](/file_url/218) Jackson Hole Conference, August 2005
- [Comment on “Asset Returns and Economic Growth” by Baker, DeLong, and Krugman,](/file_url/216) Brookings Panel on Economic Activity, 3/31/05
- ["Why Democrats Oppose Bush](/file_url/213)," *New Republic*, 3/21/05
- ["Free Advice for Democrats](/file_url/219)," *Wall Street Journal*, 3/3/05
- [Letter of Resignation as Chairman of Council of Economic Advisers,](/file_url/217) 2/9/05
- ["Honoring Massachusetts: A Tradition of Leadership,"](/file_url/215) 1/19/05
- ["Social Security Reform: National Saving and Macroeconomic Performance in the Global Economy](/file_url/212)," 1/17/05

**2004**

- ["It is Time to Fix Social Security](/file_url/210)," *Wall Street Journal*, 12/16/04
- [The Economic Agenda:­*Johns Hopkins University Speech*](/file_url/227), 12/6/04
- [The Economic Agenda: American Enterprise Institute Speech](/file_url/224), 12/2/04
- [Macroeconomic Advisers Washington Policy Conference](/file_url/221), 9/9/04
- ["Not a Hooverville in Sight](/file_url/229)," *New York Times*, 8/22/04
- [NABE Speech](/file_url/234), 3/25/04
- ["Keeping Fannie and Freddie's houses in order](/file_url/223)," *Financial Times*, 2/24/04
- [Remarks on the 2004 Economic Report](/file_url/220), 2/17/04
- [Testimony on the Economic Report of the President](/file_url/228), 2/10/04
- [The Economic Outlook: House Budget Committee Testimony](/file_url/225), 2/3/04

**2003**

- [Marshall Society Interview](/file_url/222), 12/23/03
- [The Manufacturing Sector Speech](/file_url/239), 12/17/03
- [GSE Reform: Conference of State Bank Supervisors Speech](/file_url/236), 11/6/03
- [The Estate Tax: NBER Tax Policy and the Economy Speech](/file_url/232), 11/4/03
- [China's Trade and U.S. Manufacturing Jobs Testimony](/file_url/230), 10/30/03
- [Minority Enterprise Development Week Speech](/file_url/237), 9/29/03
- [NABE speech](/file_url/234), 9/15/03
- ["Deficits and Economic Priorities,"](/file_url/233) *Washington Post*, 7/16/03
- [Confirmation Testimony](/file_url/231), 5/13/03

**2001**

- ["The Cost of a 'Living Wage',"](/content/cost-living-wage) *Boston Globe*, 6/24/01

**2000 Columns in** ***FORTUNE*** **Magazine**

- ["Bush is a Leader The Economy Can Trust,"](/content/bush-leader-economy-can-trust) 11/13/00
- ["The Estate Tax Is One Death Penalty Too Many,"](/content/estate-tax-one-death-penalty-too-many) 9/4/00
- ["A Plane Idea: Make the Airlines Suffer,"](/content/plane-idea-make-airlines-suffer) 7/11/00
- ["Ukraine: How Not To Run an Economy,"](/content/ukraine-how-not-run-economy) 6/12/00
- ["The Sensible Way to Dismember Microsoft,"](/content/sensible-way-dismember-microsoft) 5/29/00
- ["D.C., Stay Out of the New Economy,"](/content/dc-stay-out-new-economy) 5/15/00
- ["How Irrational Is Our Exuberance?"](/content/how-irrational-our-exuberance), 4/17/00
- ["Candidates Need Clues, Not Tax Plans,"](/content/candidates-need-clues-not-tax-plans) 3/20/00
- ["Is the Economy Recession-Proof?"](/content/economy-recession-proof), 2/21/00
- ["Why Getting Married Still Costs You,"](/content/why-getting-married-still-costs-you) 1/24/00

**1999 Columns in** ***FORTUNE*** **Magazine**

- ["A Theory for an Open World,"](/content/theory-open-world) 12/20/99
- ["The Dow Will Hit 36,000! (Someday),"](/content/dow-will-hit-36000-someday) 11/9/99
- ["So Who Do We Thank for This Boom?"](/content/so-who-do-we-thank-boom), 10/11/99
- ["Why Shouldn't We Die Tax-Free?"](/content/why-shouldn%E2%80%99t-we-die-tax-free), 9/6/99
- ["A Greenspan Exit Strategy,"](/content/greenspan-exit-strategy) 8/2/99
- ["Vouchers: Schools Need Competition,"](/file_url/238) 7/7/99
- ["Gas Tax Now!"](/content/gas-tax-now), 5/24/99
- ["U.S. Trade Policy Is Just Plain Schizo,"](/content/us-trade-policy-just-plain-schizo) 4/12/99
- ["How to Screw Up Social Security,"](/content/how-screw-social-security) 3/15/99
- ["Are We a Nation of Spendthrifts?"](/content/are-we-nation-spendthrifts), 2/15/99
- ["Memo to Tokyo: Cut Taxes, Print Money,"](/content/memo-tokyo-cut-taxes-print-money) 1/11/99

**1998 Columns in** ***FORTUNE*** **Magazine**

- ["Should Alan Greenspan Be Worrying About Deflation?"](/content/should-alan-greenspan-be-worrying-about-deflation), 12/7/98
- ["Let's Pass the Buck to Russia,"](/content/lets-pass-buck-russia) 11/9/98
- ["Why We Don't Speak Esperanto,"](/content/why-we-dont-speak-esperanto) 10/12/98
- ["Be Fruitful and Multiply,"](/content/be-fruitful-and-multiply) 9/7/98
- ["Government Debt: A Horror Story,"](/content/government-debt-horror-story) 8/3/98
- ["The Economist of the Century,"](/content/economist-century) 7/6/98
- ["Where Economists Put Their Money,"](/content/where-economists-put-their-money) 6/9/98
- ["Self-Help for Spenders,"](/content/self-help-spenders) 5/11/98
- ["A Great Pyramid Scheme,"](/content/great-pyramid-scheme) 4/13/98
- ["Ax Taxes for Xers!"](/content/ax-taxes-xers), 3/16/98
- ["Bob Dole vs. Microsoft (Go, Microsoft!),"](/content/bob-dole-vs-microsoft-go-microsoft) 2/16/98
- ["Why Pay More for Ketchup?"](/content/why-pay-more-ketchup), 1/12/98

**1997 Columns in** ***FORTUNE*** **Magazine**

- ["Alan Greenspan's Tradeoff,"](/content/alan-greenspans-tradeoff) 12/8/97

  
Permission to [webpublish](/content/web-publishing-permission) columns in *Fortune*

Send comments or questions to [Eliza Rakaseder](<https://erakaseder@fas.harvard.edu >)